Predicting the time to detect moderately virulent African swine fever virus in finisher swine herds using a stochastic disease transmission model

Abstract Background African swine fever (ASF) is a highly contagious and devastating pig disease that has caused extensive global economic losses.Understanding ASF virus (ASFV) transmission dynamics within a herd is necessary in order to prepare for and respond to an outbreak in the United States.Although the transmission parameters for the highly

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